A Prominent American Politician Reveals 7 Reasons Why Trump’s Negotiations with Iran May Fail

Middle East News Network: Prominent American politician and veteran negotiator Aaron David Miller has outlined seven major obstacles that could jeopardize negotiations between the United States and Iran aimed at reaching an agreement to end the war.
In a post on the platform X, Miller stated that negotiations between the United States and Iran would be “extremely difficult,” listing seven key reasons that make any agreement highly complex under current conditions.
Miller explained that the first obstacle is the complete lack of trust between the two sides. He also pointed to the fragmented decision-making process within Iran, where authority is divided among the Supreme Leader, the Revolutionary Guard, the government, and parliament. Additionally, he emphasized the complexity of the issues themselves, which include the nuclear file, ballistic missiles, regional influence, and support for proxy groups.
He further noted that concerns over the security of Iranian decision-makers play a role, as they fear being perceived domestically as conceding under U.S. pressure. Another factor is Iran’s possession of significant leverage, such as its control over the Strait of Hormuz, its regional influence, and its capacity for escalation.
Miller also highlighted Donald Trump’s approach to negotiations, describing it as a “win-lose” mindset rather than a “win-win” framework. Finally, he stressed the clash of red lines between both sides, making it difficult for either party to offer meaningful concessions without losing face.
Miller concluded that these seven combined factors make any potential negotiations between Washington and Tehran highly risky and challenging, despite discussions about the possibility of indirect or even direct talks in the near future.
Aaron David Miller is considered one of the leading U.S. experts on Middle East affairs. He has held senior positions as a negotiator and advisor at the U.S. State Department across both Republican and Democratic administrations, participated in Arab-Israeli peace negotiations, and currently serves as a senior fellow at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace.
His remarks come amid the recent military escalation between the United States and Israel on one side and Iran on the other, which began on February 28, alongside ongoing discussions about the possibility of opening negotiation channels to de-escalate tensions.
Miller has consistently warned about the difficulty of dealing with the Iranian system due to its complex structure and the deep-rooted mistrust between the two sides since the Iran hostage crisis and US withdrawal from the Iran nuclear deal.
Source: RT